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since the last readPrice has left the range the coin's last read drew.
Price has left the range the coin's last read drew.
After the spike to 1.108: a 0.970–1.005 range, price in the upper third
The setup is bearish while USDD stays under 1.005: both edges of 0.9696–1.005 have held.
Backing it: it is still digesting the spike and the weekly chart is down; against it: the indicators favour the buyers' side.
Price is over the 50-day average (0.9977). It is over the 200-day average (0.9990).
The last 5 days have gone sideways, inside a 1.1% band.
Price is 0.5% under 1.005, the top of the range it has built since the bounce, and 3.2% over 0.970, the floor the shakeout wick closed back over.
What kills the setup: a daily close over 1.005, 0.5% away.
For it: price is under the Ichimoku cloud (a widely watched trend gauge), and the gauge points down ahead.
Against it: price is back over the 50-day average (0.9977); RSI, MACD and OBV show a bullish divergence: price set a lower low that momentum did not confirm; price is above the average price buyers have paid since the 0.9481 low, 0.9935, so those buyers are in profit.
While USDD stays under 1.005 the setup stays bearish; 0.970 is the next line it has to break.
A 1D close above 1.005 ends the at the ceiling of a range; past it there is open space — the next level up, 1.108, is 10% higher.
A 1D close below 0.970 breaks down out of the range; the next level down is 0.953.
0.970 is where buyers keep showing up: it held 3 of 3 visits.
1.005 is where sellers keep showing up: it held 4 of 4 visits.
On Oct 1 USDD spiked to 1.108, 17% over its 30-day low, on 2.1× normal volume; it has since traded between 0.953 and 1.108.
On the 1D chart, USDD has traded between 0.970 and 1.005 since the bounce. Now at 1.000, it sits in the upper third of that range; the last daily close was 1.002.
A wick to 0.953 on Oct 27 closed straight back over 0.970 — a shakeout under the floor.
The weekly picture: a weekly downtrend, 100% under the cycle high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day average (0.9990), and the 50-day average is below the 200-day average. The daily has no trend of its own.
Against BTC: over the last 5 daily candles USDD moved +0.4% and BTC -1.2% — USDD is the stronger chart.
The trend has been the sellers': the weekly chart is down. Against that: RSI, MACD and OBV show a bullish divergence — price set a lower low that momentum did not confirm.
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prior month high (not retested) | 1.108 | +10.8% | calendar |
| Prior day high | 1.005 | +0.5% | calendar, sr |
| 3-TF support | 0.998 | -0.2% | confluent, golden pocket |
| Golden pocket | 0.988 | -1.2% | golden pocket, fib |
| Fib retracement | 0.984 | -1.7% | fib |
| Projected floor | 0.970 | -3.1% | read edge |
| Prior week low (not retested) | 0.953 | -4.8% | calendar |
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